PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa2C64E2204E76C6077D0BB9c442736C79c91757b-1776097218535

0xa2c64e2204e76c6077d0bb9c442736c79c91757b

Realised P&L
$-6.3k
Volume
$82.9k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration75.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3480.085$2.1k$6.6k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4740.225$283.52$314.48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2800.115$81.73$117.27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$4.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 21:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0629719606$299.00
07-13 05:26Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1$3.00
07-10 21:29Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1252570414$2.9k
07-08 15:37Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1269515761$1.2k
07-07 08:37Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999848$6.00
06-16 16:25Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3660463062$4.2k
06-12 11:10Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3499999993$234.00
06-12 11:09Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?SELL0.04$233.33
06-12 11:00Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.2799999788$9.00
06-12 07:14Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.2799999992$190.00
06-12 07:13Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3243349733$2.3k
06-09 19:25Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999996$499.00
06-09 19:21Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4599999998$298.00
06-09 19:15Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999515$3.00
05-17 07:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3699999926$30.00