0xa29c22951c331e5413a69310912433bc93ca572a
- Realised P&L
- $50.69
- Volume
- $62.7k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $173.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.51at 0.176Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 23?
- +$31.30at 0.293Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?
- +$30.22at 0.396Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 25?
- +$16.60at 0.281Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 28?
- +$15.89at 0.358Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:58 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.90 |
| 09-17 16:01 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $3.52 |
| 09-13 22:00 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.04 | $5.92 |
| 09-09 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.90 |
| 09-09 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.75 |
| 09-09 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.75 |
| 09-09 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.95 |
| 09-09 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.3692769231 | $4.80 |
| 09-09 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.2475 | $4.95 |
| 08-25 14:49 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-20 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 20? | SELL | 0.12450045 | $1.38 |
| 08-20 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 21? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.50 |
| 08-19 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.3698231827 | $1.88 |
| 08-18 16:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 19? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 08-18 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.00 |