0xa2885059D3CEae40372E2B2F3c040334F62f4aeA-1770232055138
0xa2885059d3ceae40372e2b2f3c040334f62f4aea
- Realised P&L
- $-221.13
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 890
- Open portfolio
- $9.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded890
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude Opus's output price be at or below $15 in 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.470 | $9.40 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.45at 0.840Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
- +$12.49at 0.849Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
- +$10.71at 0.767Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$8.13at 0.811Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
- +$7.99at 0.814Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 15:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999883 | $4.45 |
| 08-13 15:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.80999999 | $14.62 |
| 08-13 15:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $5.50 |
| 08-13 15:21 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999936 | $14.28 |
| 08-13 15:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8355319144 | $9.35 |
| 08-13 14:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $4.68 |
| 08-13 14:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | SELL | 0.27 | $1.66 |
| 08-13 14:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $4.62 |
| 08-13 14:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999886 | $4.98 |
| 08-13 14:27 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999886 | $4.98 |
| 08-13 13:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8399999766 | $4.30 |
| 08-13 13:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999971 | $9.10 |
| 08-13 13:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999883 | $4.45 |
| 08-13 13:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.889999991 | $9.90 |
| 08-13 13:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7818556635 | $4.80 |