0xa2824749c83ae61e3d2a0243315d8c9e9e864697
0xa2824749c83ae61e3d2a0243315d8c9e9e864697
- Realised P&L
- $-99.40
- Volume
- $34.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,057
- Open portfolio
- $21.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,057
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.24at 0.065National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur
- +$37.88at 0.053Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-23?
- +$34.79at 0.750Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$31.64at 0.250Grêmio FBPA vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5
- +$26.41at 0.074Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 20:56 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.56 |
| 10-06 20:33 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.652 | $0.98 |
| 10-06 09:42 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 09:12 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | SELL | 0.898 | $1.03 |
| 10-06 03:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 02:39 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.666 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:07 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:05 | Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 5? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.98 |
| 10-05 13:32 | Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 10:40 | Will Leonardo Badea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.11 |
| 10-05 10:23 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:00 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7429998202 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:00 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7429998202 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 22:45 | Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? | SELL | 0.981 | $1.88 |
| 10-04 18:10 | Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0839999993 | $1.00 |