PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bleed1

0xa27f7a481d471baf22ddbd4edacaeecf40ef0ce8

Realised P&L
$851.38
Volume
$947.2k
Markets traded
73,994
Open portfolio
$7.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded73,994
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1260.727$1.7k+$1.4k
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.1300.735$1.7k+$1.4k
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.1940.832$995.53+$763.17
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1690.649$861.83+$637.24
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2390.510$554.86+$295.05
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2410.539$335.21+$185.21
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1840.675$295.71+$215.19
Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1290.441$257.37+$182.37
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2050.486$196.03+$113.57
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.3000.565$94.17+$44.17
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2770.475$85.73+$35.73
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes0.4000.505$40.40+$8.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET · Up0.5000.950$23.74+$11.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.4901.000$19.99+$10.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Down0.4901.000$19.99+$10.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 22:55Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.9171486258$260.29
09-30 20:06Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2770209489$50.00
09-30 20:06Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2409999996$50.00
09-30 20:06Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2416278914$100.00
09-30 20:06Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2999999994$50.00
09-30 20:06Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1074973216$50.00
09-30 20:06Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2109999988$25.00
09-30 20:06Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1263869978$150.00
09-30 20:06Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1269746049$50.00
09-30 20:06Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.187881121$109.81
09-30 20:06Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.899$4.94
09-30 20:06Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.13$150.00
09-30 20:06Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1299999999$50.00
09-30 20:06Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1299999999$100.00
09-30 20:06Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1246167539$100.00