0xA27e4B21B23322061E232783C4575820D59666af-1733306620728
0xa27e4b21b23322061e232783c4575820d59666af
- Realised P&L
- $31.31
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $67.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 22? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $24.98 | −$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $24.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $18.13 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.39at 0.830Ethereum all time high in 2024?
- +$0.43at 0.996Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
- +$0.42at 0.995Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?
- +$0.33at 0.993Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
- +$0.32at 0.997Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 17:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.9986005592 | $25.00 |
| 10-18 18:08 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.99877652 | $24.00 |
| 10-16 22:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $26.90 |
| 10-10 18:59 | Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.995 | $48.40 |
| 10-09 18:18 | Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.997 | $23.00 |
| 10-06 14:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $41.20 |
| 10-04 00:08 | Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.997 | $14.00 |
| 10-03 00:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.9969999993 | $50.40 |
| 09-30 09:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9947236867 | $18.00 |
| 09-26 17:53 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $27.40 |
| 09-26 01:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $28.00 |
| 09-24 18:40 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $45.20 |
| 09-22 13:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.00 |
| 09-19 10:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9979999457 | $16.00 |
| 09-17 13:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.994999991 | $59.40 |