0xA276a846a2eD3002fc3E561a415E5A25303D361e-1778146659079
0xa276a846a2ed3002fc3e561a415e5a25303d361e
- Realised P&L
- $-48.88
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $41.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.46at 0.371England to score first vs. France?
- +$15.77at 0.186Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
- +$9.04at 0.116Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.05at 0.450Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?
- +$5.36at 0.276Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 19:31 | Spread: Germany (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 19:31 | Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6799999238 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 09:18 | Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.81 | $18.40 |
| 09-16 09:17 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.235022 | $94.01 |
| 09-13 08:40 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $54.00 |
| 09-13 08:37 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 09-12 20:07 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $34.28 |
| 09-10 07:11 | Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 10:03 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 10:01 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 17:36 | England to score first vs. France? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 07:07 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.311999979 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 07:03 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.35 | $4.96 |
| 07-15 06:30 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 06:30 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3524999584 | $5.00 |