cormega
0xa264085072a945e8e9e00b28df04543efd3a3b18
- Realised P&L
- $-6.6k
- Volume
- $515.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,565
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,565
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.212Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.163Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$639.10at 0.397Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
- +$514.80at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
- +$470.56at 0.367Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 04:45 | Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%? | BUY | 0.74 | $39.96 |
| 09-13 05:30 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.71 | $23.43 |
| 09-13 05:30 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.69 | $24.84 |
| 09-13 05:30 | Will CDU win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.64 | $49.92 |
| 09-13 05:30 | Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $49.92 |
| 09-13 05:30 | Will Grüne win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.65 | $49.40 |
| 09-13 05:30 | Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.76 | $39.52 |
| 09-13 05:29 | Will CDU win 40-44 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.791 | $39.55 |
| 09-13 05:29 | Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 09-13 05:29 | Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.69 | $39.33 |
| 09-13 05:29 | Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 09-13 05:29 | Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.79 | $39.50 |
| 09-13 05:29 | Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.77 | $39.27 |
| 09-13 05:29 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.76 | $39.52 |
| 09-13 05:29 | Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.83 | $49.80 |