PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x77E985f2EE4C06D44034148b8F864c2D49

0xa264085072a945e8e9e00b28df04543efd3a3b18

Realised P&L
$-6.6k
Volume
$515.4k
Markets traded
1,516
Open portfolio
$339.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,516
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? · No0.8660.985$19.70+$2.38
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.5710.964$19.27+$7.85
Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · No0.7180.938$18.75+$4.39
Will Evan Power be the FL-02 Republican nominee? · No0.7400.920$18.40+$3.60
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? · No0.8390.914$18.29+$1.51
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.7200.875$17.50+$3.10
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? · No0.6600.765$16.83+$2.31
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? · Yes0.5120.130$15.82$46.49
Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? · No0.8600.920$15.64+$1.02
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? · Yes0.5200.475$13.30$1.26
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? · No0.8201.000$13.00+$2.34
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · No0.8000.948$12.32+$1.92
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? · No0.8600.710$12.07$2.55
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? · No0.8501.000$12.00+$1.80
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? · No0.9000.695$11.12$3.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 10:43UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)SELL0.48$201.60
07-25 08:24UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.12$50.40
07-25 08:20UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)SELL0.29$392.39
07-22 04:48Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.4925074921$200.00
07-21 07:01UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.2599999992$215.34
07-21 07:01UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.2599999985$100.00
07-21 06:47UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.2537062251$150.00
07-21 05:33Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.1590072479$200.00
07-19 10:48Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?SELL0.2086481845$68.04
07-19 10:42Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?BUY0.229999998$75.00
07-19 02:32UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.3299999978$80.00
07-19 02:11UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.3399999975$75.00
07-17 09:13Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.3249999938$30.00
07-17 09:11Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.3240553575$10.00
07-17 08:33Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.3190145448$10.00