PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

cormega

0xa264085072a945e8e9e00b28df04543efd3a3b18

Realised P&L
$-6.6k
Volume
$515.9k
Markets traded
1,565
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,565
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration71.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? · No0.5701.000$86.96+$37.37
Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? · No0.5900.996$83.62+$34.06
Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.7100.999$55.92+$16.16
Will Grüne win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.6500.715$54.34+$4.94
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.7301.000$53.97+$14.55
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? · No0.7500.999$52.95+$13.20
Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes? · No0.8100.860$52.46+$3.05
Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? · No0.7600.993$51.61+$12.09
Will CDU win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? · No0.6400.645$50.31+$0.39
Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? · No0.6900.870$49.59+$10.26
Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 20–25%? · No0.7900.986$49.30+$9.80
Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes? · No0.8300.815$48.90$0.90
Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%? · No0.7400.890$48.06+$8.10
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%? · No0.7700.885$45.16+$5.89
Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes? · No0.8000.895$44.75+$4.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 04:45Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%?BUY0.74$39.96
09-13 05:30Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.71$23.43
09-13 05:30Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.69$24.84
09-13 05:30Will CDU win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?BUY0.64$49.92
09-13 05:30Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.64$49.92
09-13 05:30Will Grüne win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.65$49.40
09-13 05:30Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.76$39.52
09-13 05:29Will CDU win 40-44 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.791$39.55
09-13 05:29Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.8$40.00
09-13 05:29Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?BUY0.69$39.33
09-13 05:29Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?BUY0.8$40.00
09-13 05:29Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?BUY0.79$39.50
09-13 05:29Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?BUY0.77$39.27
09-13 05:29Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.76$39.52
09-13 05:29Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?BUY0.83$49.80
Trader cormega · PolyBot Pro