uyfrgsdfvc
0xa2397708583af75e4af6dabeda74212f5cc72fd5
- Realised P&L
- $-166.16
- Volume
- $9.3k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $871.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.848 | 0.910 | $409.73 | +$28.13 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.770 | $308.00 | −$4.00 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.964 | $154.24 | +$8.64 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$252.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$210.00at 0.700Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$24.90at 0.917Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$18.00at 0.620Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
- +$-5.46at 0.110Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-13.00at 0.530US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 07:36 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $36.86 |
| 06-23 02:21 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.848 | $381.60 |
| 05-28 12:26 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $186.00 |
| 05-25 09:01 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $224.40 |
| 05-24 07:50 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? | BUY | 0.63 | $252.00 |
| 05-16 06:36 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.11 | $137.52 |
| 05-14 01:27 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.04 |
| 05-14 01:19 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.11 | $9.15 |
| 05-08 08:38 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $344.50 |
| 04-28 02:13 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $720.00 |
| 04-08 09:20 | Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7 | $490.00 |