PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xA226570d47E6b7a4F4ed5CEe070C1952f18692e9-1768725692056

0xa226570d47e6b7a4f4ed5cee070c1952f18692e9

Realised P&L
$-53.95
Volume
$13.3k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$36.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? · No0.7040.315$31.34$38.66
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1200.032$5.51$15.49
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 2–6 seconds? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump attend UFC 324? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Up0.4620.000$0.00$6.01
Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 6–10 seconds? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 11:21Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?BUY0.7035391902$70.00
08-13 11:20Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?BUY0.0962167571$5.00
05-26 07:33US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.7399999919$62.00
04-21 07:37Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?BUY0.7357509388$45.94
02-11 09:36Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.379241485$4.86
01-21 06:30Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?BUY0.12$21.00
01-19 19:15Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
01-19 09:22Will Trump attend UFC 324?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
01-19 07:26Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.0349999967$10.00
01-18 09:09Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 6–10 seconds?BUY0.001$2.00
01-18 09:08Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 2–6 seconds?BUY0.001$10.00