PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

750ooo

0xa21574084696853f1656f4d5a5764fa1c671a7db

Realised P&L
$-15.85
Volume
$87.7k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$70.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9970.997$25.91−$0.01
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5000.515$20.60+$0.60
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9660.989$12.63+$0.29
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.6000.585$11.70−$0.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$1.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$1.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 15:41Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.997$25.92
11-01 15:40Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5$20.00
11-01 15:40Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.6$12.00
06-02 16:00Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.991$40.63
06-02 16:00Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?BUY0.997$65.80
05-15 07:35Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?BUY0.997$24.93
05-15 07:35Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?BUY0.997$1.1k
05-15 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.02$1.00
05-15 07:33Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.976$5.90
04-29 12:09Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.999$16.98
04-29 12:08Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.999$20.98
04-29 12:08Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.991$110.00
04-29 12:07Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.998$14.97
04-29 12:07Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.998$14.97
04-29 12:07Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.996$14.94