750ooo
0xa21574084696853f1656f4d5a5764fa1c671a7db
- Realised P&L
- $-15.85
- Volume
- $87.7k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $70.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $25.91 | −$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.515 | $20.60 | +$0.60 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.966 | 0.989 | $12.63 | +$0.29 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.585 | $11.70 | −$0.30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.00at 0.650Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.45at 0.994Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?
- +$4.86at 0.911Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$4.44at 0.006Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$3.07at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $25.92 |
| 11-01 15:40 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 15:40 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 06-02 16:00 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.991 | $40.63 |
| 06-02 16:00 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $65.80 |
| 05-15 07:35 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $24.93 |
| 05-15 07:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.1k |
| 05-15 07:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 05-15 07:33 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.976 | $5.90 |
| 04-29 12:09 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.98 |
| 04-29 12:08 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.98 |
| 04-29 12:08 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.991 | $110.00 |
| 04-29 12:07 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 04-29 12:07 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 04-29 12:07 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.94 |