gateway-
0xa20c26031a0b7510c7e4959dcd6d8d2fa23c451a
- Realised P&L
- $-59.89
- Volume
- $1.38M
- Markets traded
- 232
- Open portfolio
- $30.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded232
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.095Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
- +$2.7kat 0.440Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$2.1kat 0.308Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$2.0kat 0.419Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.546Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 23:30 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $108.07 |
| 10-25 23:20 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.89086845 | $4.5k |
| 10-25 23:19 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.3k |
| 10-23 09:55 | Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? | BUY | 0.1013409501 | $33.13 |
| 10-23 09:15 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $436.37 |
| 10-22 05:34 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $727.00 |
| 10-17 12:31 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.6893487476 | $876.54 |
| 10-16 15:33 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $10.0k |
| 10-14 11:59 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $380.00 |
| 10-14 11:57 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $275.00 |
| 10-12 13:56 | Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $74.03 |
| 10-12 10:44 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $700.00 |
| 10-08 10:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $20.91 |
| 10-08 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.1795766648 | $64.18 |
| 10-08 04:51 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5261538462 | $68.40 |