PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gateway-

0xa20c26031a0b7510c7e4959dcd6d8d2fa23c451a

Realised P&L
$-59.89
Volume
$1.38M
Markets traded
232
Open portfolio
$30.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded232
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 23:30Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.23$108.07
10-25 23:20Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.89086845$4.5k
10-25 23:19Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?SELL0.41$4.3k
10-23 09:55Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?BUY0.1013409501$33.13
10-23 09:15Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?BUY0.78$436.37
10-22 05:34Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.79$727.00
10-17 12:31Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?BUY0.6893487476$876.54
10-16 15:33Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.62$10.0k
10-14 11:59US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.19$380.00
10-14 11:57Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.11$275.00
10-12 13:56Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?BUY0.88$74.03
10-12 10:44US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.14$700.00
10-08 10:06US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?SELL0.91$20.91
10-08 05:32Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?BUY0.1795766648$64.18
10-08 04:51Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?SELL0.5261538462$68.40