PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa1fcab499a9c42935b015385ca329794f79345c8

Realised P&L
$-361.00
Volume
$105.3k
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$532.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.9670.974$200.93+$1.26
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8600.540$123.65$73.27
Tread FDV above $5M one day after launch · Yes0.8440.980$56.81+$7.84
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7990.776$47.47$1.35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3680.125$42.50$82.48
Counter-Strike: Color vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group B · Color0.7190.500$33.97$14.85
Iasi Open: Jaqueline Cristian vs Leolia Jeanjean · Jaqueline Cristian0.5050.500$9.56$0.10
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.7060.570$7.90$1.88
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.8680.257$5.80$13.82
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.5250.051$4.12$37.92
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 14, 2026? · No0.8600.000$0.00$49.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 20:54Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.8759999998$197.05
09-14 10:46Will Russia target Kyiv on September 14, 2026?BUY0.8599999983$49.50
09-13 13:33Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.3399999901$9.64
09-13 09:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999969$9.52
09-11 12:31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$9.53
09-11 12:20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4199999984$48.12
09-01 10:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4199999913$9.62
08-31 14:33Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.439999996$48.19
08-31 13:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.55$106.27
08-29 10:26Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)BUY0.479999991$19.30
08-29 08:47Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.7986466423$48.82
08-28 15:19Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$96.61
08-27 18:14Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8599999995$196.92
08-21 12:28Tread FDV above $5M one day after launchBUY0.8443093113$48.97
08-19 13:48LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonBUY0.7199999976$48.82