Simsiv
0xa1c9121a1f445d82287e49b9ba8738ceb6bcfa16
- Realised P&L
- $-18.81
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $13.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.19at 0.268Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?
- +$3.27at 0.482Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?
- +$1.98at 0.232Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$0.94at 0.560Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?
- +$0.82at 0.420Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 16:48 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.1402641247 | $8.00 |
| 07-29 16:48 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 15:00 | Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 12:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2489999661 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 07:04 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1309999804 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 05:56 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31? | SELL | 0.6209680968 | $11.29 |
| 07-21 05:56 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $12.34 |
| 07-21 05:56 | Will Bernie say "Trillionaire" during Minneapolis Rally? | BUY | 0.2695365523 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 05:56 | Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2342854854 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 16:10 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.88 |
| 07-20 16:10 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | SELL | 0.58 | $5.52 |
| 07-20 16:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 07-20 16:09 | Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.85 |
| 07-20 16:09 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m? | SELL | 0.995 | $6.35 |
| 07-20 16:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.33 | $7.33 |