vitalitytens
0xa1b98f39fcb669646c1d8d4b244f6b5e252d8179
- Realised P&L
- $-737.27
- Volume
- $1.74M
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.11at 0.102Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?
- +$53.33at 0.266Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
- +$45.73at 0.551Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$44.27at 0.062Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?
- +$40.51at 0.164Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-27 02:58 | Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 01-26 18:09 | Tom Lee charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $113.79 |
| 01-26 18:05 | Tom Lee charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $62.54 |
| 01-26 18:05 | Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? | BUY | 0.56 | $29.18 |
| 01-26 18:04 | Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon? | BUY | 0.27 | $6.96 |
| 01-26 18:02 | Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.67 | $59.56 |
| 01-26 17:59 | Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon? | BUY | 0.26 | $20.41 |
| 01-26 17:58 | Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.68 | $70.14 |
| 01-26 17:56 | Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $23.34 |
| 01-26 17:55 | Tom Lee charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $11.34 |
| 01-26 17:55 | Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? | BUY | 0.54 | $17.33 |
| 01-26 17:52 | Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? | BUY | 0.55 | $55.36 |
| 01-26 17:52 | Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $45.88 |
| 01-26 17:49 | Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.77 |
| 01-26 17:47 | Tom Lee charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $16.35 |