bbbbbidd
0xa1ac8a4dd538d67a40ca36efa62e589784320790
- Realised P&L
- $-74.48
- Volume
- $103.4k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $141.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.925 | $55.50 | +$0.90 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.905 | $45.25 | −$0.25 |
| Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.685 | $30.82 | +$2.48 |
| Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.003 | $10.25 | −$14.35 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.76at 0.775Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$9.55at 0.907Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
- +$3.45at 0.950Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
- +$2.14at 0.002Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$1.94at 0.720Timberwolves vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 09:07 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 10-09 09:07 | Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.63 | $28.35 |
| 10-09 09:04 | Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.006 | $24.60 |
| 10-09 09:04 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $54.60 |
| 10-09 09:03 | Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 10-09 09:03 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.37 | $44.40 |
| 08-07 13:33 | Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 08-07 13:32 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.55 | $65.99 |
| 06-25 04:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.766 | $114.90 |
| 03-30 17:08 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31? | BUY | 0.996714643 | $139.47 |
| 03-30 17:08 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $86.69 |
| 02-28 13:41 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $108.36 |
| 02-28 13:40 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31? | BUY | 0.978 | $44.68 |
| 02-28 13:40 | Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.004 | $35.42 |
| 02-28 13:40 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3164666667 | $47.47 |