PolyBot

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Traders

Sagand

0xa18166afa109f6013edb74ce02b0798970daece8

Realised P&L
$17.1k
Volume
$148.2k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$11.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5080.530$3.9k+$158.31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8830.885$2.6k+$6.21
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6150.645$1.7k+$80.76
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8670.855$986.03$13.97
Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7000.725$621.49+$21.49
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1830.235$512.75+$112.75
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5440.645$474.25+$74.25
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8210.825$310.44+$1.44
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8000.815$203.75+$3.75
Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2560.265$170.64+$5.64
Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.2830.395$139.69+$39.69
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.1760.210$23.90+$3.90
Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.0710.050$14.00$6.00
Will Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$10.00
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? · Yes0.6770.000$0.00$1.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 00:04Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.89$2.0k
09-17 00:03Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.2163988228$150.00
09-16 14:36Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.6999288406$600.00
09-16 03:33Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1679268816$250.00
09-16 03:11Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.6411668366$1000.00
09-16 03:09Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5456349203$500.00
09-16 03:09Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8671157865$1000.00
09-15 04:23Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5102881448$1000.00
09-14 01:21Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?BUY0.9179999998$110.00
09-14 00:41Will "Pluribus" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.26$119.84
09-10 20:11Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?BUY0.9769483834$441.00
09-10 20:11Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?BUY0.4693315725$250.00
09-10 20:11Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?BUY0.9751691065$750.00
09-10 20:10Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?BUY0.950582139$750.00
09-10 20:10Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?BUY0.8251740519$750.00