Begger
0xa179c1fc6853c5359c7d7f47b51f32368299fd98
- Realised P&L
- $-189.50
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $56.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31? · No | 0.600 | 0.750 | $22.50 | +$4.50 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.335 | $19.43 | +$2.61 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.447 | 0.589 | $12.96 | +$3.12 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.013 | $1.30 | −$5.70 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.002 | $0.45 | −$1.65 |
| US recession in 2025? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$106.00 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.29at 0.350Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
- +$2.66at 0.189Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$2.14at 0.700Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
- +$1.94at 0.360US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
- +$0.08at 0.930Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 19:32 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 10-19 19:31 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.24976 | $12.49 |
| 09-14 17:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 19:05 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 09-12 19:04 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.10 |
| 09-12 19:04 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 09-12 19:04 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.183 | $9.15 |
| 09-12 19:01 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.12 |
| 09-12 18:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 09-11 12:27 | Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 09-11 12:18 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.29 | $11.02 |
| 09-11 12:18 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.447 | $6.71 |
| 06-24 00:34 | Iran strike on Qatar today? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.62 |
| 06-24 00:29 | Israel strike on Iran on June 29? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 00:29 | Israel strike on Iran on June 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |