PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Begger

0xa179c1fc6853c5359c7d7f47b51f32368299fd98

Realised P&L
$-189.50
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$56.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31? · No0.6000.750$22.50+$4.50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2900.335$19.43+$2.61
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.4470.589$12.96+$3.12
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0700.013$1.30−$5.70
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0070.002$0.45−$1.65
US recession in 2025? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$106.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$1.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 19:32Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.29$2.90
10-19 19:31Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.24976$12.49
09-14 17:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1399999999$20.00
09-12 19:05Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.27$2.70
09-12 19:04Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.007$2.10
09-12 19:04Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.07$7.00
09-12 19:04Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.183$9.15
09-12 19:01Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.014$1.12
09-12 18:58Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.29$5.80
09-11 12:27Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?BUY0.6$18.00
09-11 12:18Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.29$11.02
09-11 12:18Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.447$6.71
06-24 00:34Iran strike on Qatar today?BUY0.08$1.62
06-24 00:29Israel strike on Iran on June 29?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
06-24 00:29Israel strike on Iran on June 30?BUY0.2$1.00