Risto
0xa17325d33b095b6bb48d475a3578fecbdff73315
- Realised P&L
- $21.3k
- Volume
- $5.13M
- Markets traded
- 452
- Open portfolio
- $16.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded452
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.2kat 0.331Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$5.8kat 0.387Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$5.8kat 0.624Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$5.0kat 0.500Pacers vs. Knicks
- +$4.0kat 0.500Pistons vs. Hornets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:40 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.66 | $86.21 |
| 10-29 09:05 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.57 | $113.99 |
| 10-11 11:21 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.79 |
| 10-11 11:19 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8359393707 | $413.63 |
| 10-08 20:15 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.871 | $348.40 |
| 10-08 20:15 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.21 | $294.00 |
| 09-27 21:31 | Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 09-26 20:37 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.425 | $85.00 |
| 09-26 11:53 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.428 | $843.16 |
| 09-20 21:16 | Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.95 | $308.26 |
| 09-20 20:16 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.64 | $167.04 |
| 09-19 00:11 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.72 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.006 | $15.00 |
| 09-19 00:10 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.006 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 21:59 | Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.897 | $13.93 |