PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Risto

0xa17325d33b095b6bb48d475a3578fecbdff73315

Realised P&L
$14.8k
Volume
$4.96M
Markets traded
429
Open portfolio
$30.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded429
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9560.977$9.8k+$203.76
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6200.635$7.2k+$169.57
Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5800.900$4.5k+$1.6k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7800.785$1.6k+$10.00
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.7790.765$1.1k$20.51
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7620.865$943.34+$112.27
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.7720.845$845.28+$72.45
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.8200.835$835.00+$15.00
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.5750.405$810.00$340.00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.2520.735$440.84+$289.67
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8640.875$437.75+$5.75
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8550.953$285.74+$29.25
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.6680.545$275.24$62.35
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0420.045$272.99+$21.58
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · No0.8670.974$216.11+$23.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 01:15Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.3$1.51
07-31 23:44Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.3010877193$34.32
07-31 11:32GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.84$39.17
07-31 01:01Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.144$104.05
07-30 14:12GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.17$85.00
07-30 13:47GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.18$18.00
07-30 12:01GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.050764$50.76
07-30 12:00GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.2328012806$40.72
07-28 13:35Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?SELL0.947$10.95
07-22 14:13Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.369$15.06
07-18 19:59Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?SELL0.964$0.14
07-18 19:59Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?SELL0.955$14.32
07-16 00:20Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?SELL0.968$302.98
07-09 13:53Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.81$20.25
07-06 19:55Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.122$183.00