Risto
0xa17325d33b095b6bb48d475a3578fecbdff73315
- Realised P&L
- $14.8k
- Volume
- $4.96M
- Markets traded
- 429
- Open portfolio
- $30.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded429
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.2kat 0.331Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$5.8kat 0.387Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$5.0kat 0.500Pacers vs. Knicks
- +$4.0kat 0.500Pistons vs. Hornets
- +$3.5kat 0.402US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 01:15 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.51 |
| 07-31 23:44 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.3010877193 | $34.32 |
| 07-31 11:32 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.84 | $39.17 |
| 07-31 01:01 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.144 | $104.05 |
| 07-30 14:12 | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.17 | $85.00 |
| 07-30 13:47 | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 07-30 12:01 | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.050764 | $50.76 |
| 07-30 12:00 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2328012806 | $40.72 |
| 07-28 13:35 | Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.947 | $10.95 |
| 07-22 14:13 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.369 | $15.06 |
| 07-18 19:59 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.964 | $0.14 |
| 07-18 19:59 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.955 | $14.32 |
| 07-16 00:20 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.968 | $302.98 |
| 07-09 13:53 | Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $20.25 |
| 07-06 19:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.122 | $183.00 |