PolyBot

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Traders

clanker1000

0xa1648ecc6f7c24ea778a45183097b4c9524f4686

Realised P&L
$-616.68
Volume
$183.9k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$563.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9270.973$464.61+$21.48
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? · Yes0.1400.140$28.00+$0.00
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.8600.895$24.16+$0.94
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · No0.9840.859$18.90−$2.75
Will Drake perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes0.1570.157$13.35−$0.00
Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes0.1150.108$11.94−$0.71
Will Strasbourg win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · Yes0.0040.002$2.25−$3.75
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$0.80
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$30.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 01:46Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?SELL0.11$0.55
10-21 01:46Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?SELL0.92$55.70
10-21 01:25Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.06$3.18
10-21 01:22Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.9739807944$484.31
10-21 01:21Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.0204$2.04
09-25 01:48Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.86$23.22
09-25 01:47Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?BUY0.91$55.09
09-25 01:46Will Strasbourg win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?BUY0.004$6.00
09-04 12:37Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.952$309.40
09-04 12:34Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?SELL0.929$25.34
07-29 16:45Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.56$7.22
07-29 12:48Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.3113133333$93.39
07-29 12:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.41$102.50
07-29 08:32US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.51$127.50
07-29 03:42Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.313$31.30