PolyBot

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Traders

0xa16008f1bfff62da135f7c657761798634d69803

0xa16008f1bfff62da135f7c657761798634d69803

Realised P&L
$4.44
Volume
$356.35
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$6.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.4200.720$3.43+$1.43
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.8000.500$1.25$0.75
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.2700.150$1.11$0.89
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.3700.045$0.25$1.75
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? · Yes0.3100.001$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 09:21Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.419999979$2.00
09-20 00:18Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?BUY0.3099999954$2.00
09-19 14:01Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
09-19 06:00Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3699999593$2.00
09-17 19:41Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-17 11:36Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.4$2.00
09-17 11:31Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.6099999116$2.00
09-17 03:15Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
09-16 19:14Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
09-16 10:36Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
09-16 10:36Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
09-16 02:34Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.7799999752$1.89
09-16 02:32Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4299999807$2.00
09-12 14:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$2.00
09-12 03:01Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$2.00