PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

aliesad

0xa1564ecc60fe2adfaa8e82a09f0f0bae4a5bdfcc

Realised P&L
$-39.30
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$54.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.3800.973$17.92+$10.92
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0950.146$15.42+$5.42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.2800.280$10.00+$0.00
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes0.3080.251$5.70$1.30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4200.645$1.54+$0.54
Power Slap 22: Daniyar Daurenovich vs. Darren Godfrey (Fight 1) · Daniyar Daurenovich0.4300.250$1.45$1.05
Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1380.176$1.28+$0.28
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4060.266$0.65$0.35
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2000.033$0.16$0.84
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.1280.001$0.01$2.99
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$4.00
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev · Flavio Cobolli0.2000.000$0.00$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Belgium vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$1.00
Achraf Hakimi: 1+ assists · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 17:44San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo VarillasBUY0.6099999172$1.40
07-30 17:43Power Slap 22: Adnan Alic vs. Djordje Tomic (Fight 2)BUY0.4299998481$1.50
07-30 17:40Power Slap 22: Daniyar Daurenovich vs. Darren Godfrey (Fight 1)BUY0.4299999381$2.50
07-30 17:13Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub MensikBUY0.5$5.00
07-29 16:41Samsun: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Paul InchauspeSELL0.999$10.51
07-29 15:54Samsun: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Paul InchauspeBUY0.3799999696$4.00
07-29 15:39Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.1379998965$1.00
07-29 15:31FC Inter Turku vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2799999515$3.00
07-29 15:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.5$2.00
07-28 15:33Bonn: Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefano TravagliaBUY0.3799999742$5.00
07-28 14:49Bonn: Clement Tabur vs Henri SquireBUY0.3899999774$5.00
07-28 14:47Targu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca BurcescuSELL0.999$12.27
07-28 14:00Targu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca BurcescuBUY0.4069999612$5.00
07-26 19:54Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.3083392476$7.00
07-26 19:41Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.2799999854$10.00