0xa14bf68614d94e49236f0f86eeb026f04ebe05e4
- Realised P&L
- $17.4k
- Volume
- $517.8k
- Markets traded
- 281
- Open portfolio
- $45.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded281
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.704Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?
- +$997.46at 0.138Will Jacob Skov Olesen finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?
- +$918.03at 0.903Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
- +$909.27at 0.846Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 90 mph?
- +$901.08at 0.812Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:58 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $325,000 and $330,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.0056810256 | $0.06 |
| 09-17 23:58 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $320,000 and $325,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.67 |
| 08-05 23:35 | Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 08-05 23:35 | Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.1 | $25.63 |
| 08-05 18:42 | Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026? | BUY | 0.1212906437 | $43.87 |
| 08-04 12:01 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 90 mph? | BUY | 0.99 | $128.70 |
| 08-04 12:01 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 105 mph? | BUY | 0.9771112305 | $90.92 |
| 08-04 12:01 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 100 mph? | BUY | 0.9823993333 | $294.72 |
| 08-04 12:01 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 90 mph? | BUY | 0.99 | $128.70 |
| 08-04 12:01 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 95 mph? | BUY | 0.9879341688 | $71.73 |
| 08-04 12:00 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 90 mph? | BUY | 0.9822135644 | $191.60 |
| 08-04 12:00 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 85 mph? | BUY | 0.99 | $47.55 |
| 07-31 19:44 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $52.00 |
| 07-31 19:43 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $70.00 |
| 07-31 18:28 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $55.00 |