PolyBot

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Traders

yolkhead

0xa148f913e62759a9955772c5c5ffa36277f7f655

Realised P&L
$-149.75
Volume
$35.7k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$796.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? · No0.8000.795$795.00$5.00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0690.132$1.58+$0.75
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$5.00
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$8.00
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$20.00
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$48.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down0.2730.000$0.00$10.00
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026? · Yes0.1340.000$0.00$49.89
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00$14.60
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 2, 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 09:18Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?BUY0.8$800.00
09-04 14:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.999$130.45
08-06 07:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.8499999996$111.00
07-25 19:35Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.75$9.00
07-25 19:35Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999916$20.00
07-25 19:33Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.73$100.00
07-25 19:32Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.995$130.39
07-25 18:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.01$0.56
07-25 18:38Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
07-25 18:37Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.0040404608$1.29
07-23 16:43Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.0062778481$2.00
07-23 16:33Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8799999999$500.00
07-23 13:59US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.5599999993$100.00
07-13 19:35Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.247$4.36
07-08 12:19Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.1699999609$3.00