segment3
0xa10c1ba5df9937ba4aea5b7edeadadb5d0b6b2de
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $172.2k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $51.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration86.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.741 | 0.755 | $45.0k | +$819.13 |
| Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31? · No | 0.979 | 0.983 | $3.4k | +$11.31 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No | 0.691 | 0.775 | $3.4k | +$365.46 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.834 | 0.796 | $7.96 | −$0.38 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 14:48 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $177.06 |
| 08-28 08:53 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $443.46 |
| 08-28 08:53 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.2k |
| 08-28 08:52 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.2k |
| 08-28 08:50 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.834 | $8.34 |
| 08-28 08:45 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76726667 | $23.0k |
| 08-27 19:29 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 08-26 16:37 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $23.33 |
| 08-26 15:13 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.735198 | $367.60 |
| 08-26 15:11 | Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.1k |
| 08-26 15:06 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.718739314 | $754.15 |
| 08-26 15:05 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.6654351621 | $194.43 |
| 08-26 14:46 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $116.60 |