ericcartmans
0xa107c95d391d13c14bbee4a0cf949ef4f3568da2
- Realised P&L
- $14.18
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $72.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.91at 0.110Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$19.00at 0.050US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$13.08at 0.437Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$7.19at 0.160Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$4.73at 0.679Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 17:14 | Will FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 17:13 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 17:13 | Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 17:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 16:55 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 16:53 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $6.00 |
| 09-10 16:49 | F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship? | BUY | 0.7099999517 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 08:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 08:29 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1029999577 | $2.00 |
| 05-30 18:23 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 16:53 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.1699999972 | $50.00 |
| 04-16 09:05 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $30.00 |
| 04-08 13:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.39 | $12.19 |
| 04-08 06:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $0.98 |
| 04-08 06:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $0.89 |