PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA10737267D3d9A117d5fAd1AB5c330F3B42f14FE-1771420480474

0xa10737267d3d9a117d5fad1ab5c330f3b42f14fe

Realised P&L
$964.65
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$173.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? · Yes0.0540.057$82.80+$4.20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0340.039$69.01+$8.85
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 21-27? · Yes0.0250.026$14.56+$0.56
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? · Yes0.0350.124$3.22+$2.31
Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 22? · Yes0.0300.011$2.11$3.89
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0030.001$2.07$9.89
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$19.95
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$11.00
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 10-16? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$22.26
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$2.00
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$54.78
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$27.00
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$19.82
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 13? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 21:34Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 22?BUY0.03$5.40
09-22 21:33Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 22?BUY0.029$0.60
09-22 21:32Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 21-27?BUY0.025$14.00
09-22 21:29Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.001$1.00
09-22 21:29Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.001$1.00
09-21 16:59Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.005$6.97
09-21 08:40Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.004$3.00
09-21 08:27Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.034$60.16
09-17 13:10Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?BUY0.032$2.56
09-17 13:09Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?BUY0.035$0.91
09-14 20:28Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 14?SELL0.999$47.68
09-14 15:24Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 14?BUY0.06$2.86
09-14 15:23Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?SELL0.0535733006$3.27
09-05 13:31Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 5?BUY0.032$2.58
09-05 13:30Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 5?BUY0.026$0.13