0xA10737267D3d9A117d5fAd1AB5c330F3B42f14FE-1771420480474
0xa10737267d3d9a117d5fad1ab5c330f3b42f14fe
- Realised P&L
- $964.65
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $173.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$496.15at 0.071Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?
- +$491.00at 0.061Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
- +$340.23at 0.033Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?
- +$44.63at 0.064Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 14?
- +$-7.86at 0.061Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 21:34 | Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 22? | BUY | 0.03 | $5.40 |
| 09-22 21:33 | Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 22? | BUY | 0.029 | $0.60 |
| 09-22 21:32 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.025 | $14.00 |
| 09-22 21:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 21:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 16:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $6.97 |
| 09-21 08:40 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 08:27 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.034 | $60.16 |
| 09-17 13:10 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | BUY | 0.032 | $2.56 |
| 09-17 13:09 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | BUY | 0.035 | $0.91 |
| 09-14 20:28 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $47.68 |
| 09-14 15:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 14? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.86 |
| 09-14 15:23 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | SELL | 0.0535733006 | $3.27 |
| 09-05 13:31 | Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 5? | BUY | 0.032 | $2.58 |
| 09-05 13:30 | Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 5? | BUY | 0.026 | $0.13 |