CrypticJungle
0xa105fbfdf1512428831ee11d9b446c7856929524
- Realised P&L
- $-25.49
- Volume
- $839.03
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $20.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.160 | $10.63 | −$9.37 |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.125 | $9.62 | −$10.38 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.52at 0.310Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
- +$31.28at 0.390Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
- +$12.23at 0.620Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$7.59at 0.725Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
- +$7.00at 0.740Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 08:22 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7? | BUY | 0.3899999902 | $20.00 |
| 05-22 08:21 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? | BUY | 0.3099999895 | $20.00 |
| 04-29 15:03 | James Comey arrested by April 29? | BUY | 0.3378378378 | $25.00 |
| 03-09 21:28 | Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 03-09 21:27 | Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 03-09 21:25 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.8099999931 | $20.00 |
| 02-25 06:03 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | SELL | 0.999 | $26.28 |
| 02-23 21:31 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 02-23 21:22 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 02-22 10:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | SELL | 0.969 | $24.85 |
| 02-22 10:50 | Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational? | BUY | 0.8159999931 | $20.00 |
| 02-22 10:23 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 02-22 10:22 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |
| 02-22 10:20 | Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | SELL | 0.999 | $26.99 |
| 02-22 10:20 | Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | SELL | 0.999 | $32.22 |