PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CrypticJungle

0xa105fbfdf1512428831ee11d9b446c7856929524

Realised P&L
$-25.49
Volume
$839.03
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$20.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3000.160$10.63$9.37
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? · Yes0.2600.125$9.62$10.38
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? · No0.8300.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-22 08:22Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?BUY0.3899999902$20.00
05-22 08:21Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?BUY0.3099999895$20.00
04-29 15:03James Comey arrested by April 29?BUY0.3378378378$25.00
03-09 21:28Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?BUY0.2599999935$20.00
03-09 21:27Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?BUY0.7599999954$20.00
03-09 21:25Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.8099999931$20.00
02-25 06:03Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL0.999$26.28
02-23 21:31Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
02-23 21:22Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.7599999954$20.00
02-22 10:52Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?SELL0.969$24.85
02-22 10:50Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?BUY0.8159999931$20.00
02-22 10:23Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.8$20.00
02-22 10:22Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?BUY0.8299999975$20.00
02-22 10:20Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL0.999$26.99
02-22 10:20Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL0.999$32.22