ccolombo
0xa0c717982f00058765e7b53727b91237a5bc67dd
- Realised P&L
- $-441.17
- Volume
- $94.4k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$168.28at 0.856Will Brazil vs. France end in a draw?
- +$153.75at 0.830SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
- +$143.52at 0.770Will Canada vs. Tunisia end in a draw?
- +$138.15at 0.870Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06?
- +$111.61at 0.956Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 12:23 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 08-27 18:58 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.0535511333 | $8.03 |
| 08-14 17:22 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.37 |
| 08-14 17:17 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999877 | $13.25 |
| 08-14 17:02 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0546818744 | $6.36 |
| 08-12 13:09 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $32.49 |
| 08-12 12:34 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999997 | $33.11 |
| 08-10 18:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.728 | $3.64 |
| 08-10 13:08 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 08-04 19:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $76.00 |
| 07-06 20:59 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | SELL | 0.01 | $3.52 |
| 07-06 20:59 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.80 |
| 07-06 20:44 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6099999993 | $300.00 |
| 07-05 21:51 | Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? | SELL | 0.03 | $8.84 |
| 07-05 20:14 | Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $100.00 |