PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa0B9c52dCacc522b3e73B7756c44c9581D566048-1726452579608

0xa0b9c52dcacc522b3e73b7756c44c9581d566048

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$345.5k
Markets traded
906
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded906
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? · No0.7330.955$249.19+$58.04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7220.843$210.62+$30.06
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · No0.6190.974$194.80+$71.00
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? · No0.7300.978$175.95+$44.55
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30? · No0.8890.978$175.94+$15.95
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.8080.978$175.94+$30.55
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? · No0.7100.975$175.50+$47.70
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? · No0.7400.967$174.06+$40.86
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? · No0.2940.965$173.70+$120.70
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30? · No0.9010.962$173.06+$10.80
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? · No0.8200.945$170.10+$22.50
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · No0.7800.910$163.80+$23.40
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? · No0.7300.949$163.24+$37.60
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? · No0.7400.895$161.10+$27.90
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · No0.5900.715$128.70+$22.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 15:21Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?SELL0.962$48.10
08-23 15:21Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?SELL0.96515$173.73
08-23 15:21Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31?SELL0.9692433555$58.35
08-17 13:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.987$118.44
08-17 13:20Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.992$79.36
08-17 13:19Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?BUY0.88$17.60
08-17 13:18Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?BUY0.73$94.74
08-17 13:16Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?BUY0.44$2.92
08-17 13:14Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.667$120.06
08-17 13:13Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.73$73.00
08-17 13:10Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.57$16.39
08-08 13:53Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?BUY0.71$38.34
08-08 13:52Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30?BUY0.74$133.20
08-08 13:45Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?BUY0.73$98.08
08-08 13:45Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.59$5.90