0xa0B9c52dCacc522b3e73B7756c44c9581D566048-1726452579608
0xa0b9c52dcacc522b3e73b7756c44c9581d566048
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $342.1k
- Markets traded
- 886
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded886
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$437.59at 0.405Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
- +$424.62at 0.277Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?
- +$341.46at 0.791Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
- +$269.09at 0.700Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$242.52at 0.550Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 18:04 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4125 | $99.82 |
| 07-19 17:53 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.5875 | $99.29 |
| 07-18 22:20 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.271 | $40.65 |
| 07-14 15:44 | Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31? | SELL | 0.0468409091 | $6.18 |
| 07-10 17:29 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $73.80 |
| 07-10 17:27 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 07-10 16:53 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17? | BUY | 0.58 | $24.94 |
| 07-08 13:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 06-28 21:36 | Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $108.00 |
| 06-28 21:35 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $91.80 |
| 06-28 21:35 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | BUY | 0.942 | $169.56 |
| 06-28 21:34 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? | BUY | 0.5443201786 | $75.58 |
| 06-28 21:00 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $199.00 |
| 06-25 22:21 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.997 | $159.76 |
| 06-19 15:07 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |