PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0xa0B9c52dCacc522b3e73B7756c44c9581D566048-1726452579608

0xa0b9c52dcacc522b3e73b7756c44c9581d566048

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$342.1k
Markets traded
886
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded886
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7220.843$210.74+$30.19
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? · No0.7160.900$171.84+$35.18
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · No0.6190.840$168.00+$44.20
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.8080.805$144.89$0.50
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? · No0.7480.780$140.40+$5.80
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3570.405$121.50+$14.50
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · No0.7800.625$112.50$27.90
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8270.815$97.79$1.41
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1700.278$97.13+$37.76
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · No0.8100.925$92.50+$11.50
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? · No0.2940.445$80.10+$27.10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.7481.000$79.96+$20.09
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.4100.440$79.20+$5.40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9050.976$78.04+$5.64
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7200.855$76.95+$12.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 18:04Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4125$99.82
07-19 17:53Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.5875$99.29
07-18 22:20France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.271$40.65
07-14 15:44Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?SELL0.0468409091$6.18
07-10 17:29Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.41$73.80
07-10 17:27Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?BUY0.82$16.40
07-10 16:53Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17?BUY0.58$24.94
07-08 13:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?SELL0.999$119.88
06-28 21:36Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6$108.00
06-28 21:35Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.51$91.80
06-28 21:35Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY0.942$169.56
06-28 21:34Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?BUY0.5443201786$75.58
06-28 21:00Iran leadership change by June 30?SELL0.995$199.00
06-25 22:21Will Trump and Putin not meet?SELL0.997$159.76
06-19 15:07Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?BUY0.001$10.00