0xa0B9c52dCacc522b3e73B7756c44c9581D566048-1726452579608
0xa0b9c52dcacc522b3e73b7756c44c9581d566048
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $345.5k
- Markets traded
- 906
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded906
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$437.59at 0.405Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
- +$424.62at 0.277Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?
- +$341.46at 0.791Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
- +$269.09at 0.700Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$242.52at 0.550Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 15:21 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | SELL | 0.962 | $48.10 |
| 08-23 15:21 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.96515 | $173.73 |
| 08-23 15:21 | Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31? | SELL | 0.9692433555 | $58.35 |
| 08-17 13:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.987 | $118.44 |
| 08-17 13:20 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.992 | $79.36 |
| 08-17 13:19 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 08-17 13:18 | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? | BUY | 0.73 | $94.74 |
| 08-17 13:16 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.92 |
| 08-17 13:14 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.667 | $120.06 |
| 08-17 13:13 | Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 08-17 13:10 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $16.39 |
| 08-08 13:53 | Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.71 | $38.34 |
| 08-08 13:52 | Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $133.20 |
| 08-08 13:45 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.73 | $98.08 |
| 08-08 13:45 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |