0xa093ee77269e6f39fb1c6338c1dbbac53339c85a
0xa093ee77269e6f39fb1c6338c1dbbac53339c85a
- Realised P&L
- $2.58
- Volume
- $207.73
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $2.62
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.330 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.390 | 0.455 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.055 | $0.23 | −$1.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.48at 0.268Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $630 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$4.04at 0.288Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$3.19at 0.339Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:35 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:51 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:24 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:18 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 2? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 00:06 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 2? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:42 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:57 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:20 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:42 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 21:42 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:15 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:08 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:08 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |