0xA08CA5f07558d3EF494E8Fa1EE89e375b4dAdc50-1763833259755
0xa08ca5f07558d3ef494e8fa1ee89e375b4dadc50
- Realised P&L
- $-235.48
- Volume
- $29.2k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $37.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.00at 0.250US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$130.61at 0.277Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
- +$58.16at 0.600Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
- +$50.19at 0.617Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
- +$46.91at 0.680Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 15:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 15:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 15:53 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 15:52 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.4299999951 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 15:43 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 18:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 18:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 18:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 16:26 | Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 05:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 05:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 05:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 05:32 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |