0xA08CA5f07558d3EF494E8Fa1EE89e375b4dAdc50-1763833259755
0xa08ca5f07558d3ef494e8fa1ee89e375b4dadc50
- Realised P&L
- $-263.56
- Volume
- $30.7k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $83.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.00at 0.250US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$130.61at 0.277Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
- +$58.17at 0.600Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
- +$50.19at 0.617Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
- +$46.91at 0.680Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 19:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 19:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 19:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 12:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 12:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 12:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 12:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 12:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 12:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 12:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7799996958 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 08:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 08:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 07:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 07:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |