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Traders

0xA08CA5f07558d3EF494E8Fa1EE89e375b4dAdc50-1763833259755

0xa08ca5f07558d3ef494e8fa1ee89e375b4dadc50

Realised P&L
$-235.48
Volume
$29.2k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$37.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.4300.430$15.00+$0.00
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? · Yes0.4100.375$9.15$0.85
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · No0.1600.200$6.25+$1.25
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? · Yes0.2800.290$5.18+$0.18
Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.9400.986$1.05+$0.05
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · No0.0010.001$1.00$1.00
Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$5.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026? · No0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 1? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Down0.4100.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.2110.000$0.00$9.93
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00$5.00
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.1$1.00
08-04 08:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
08-03 15:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.2699998542$1.00
08-03 15:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.2599998648$1.00
08-03 15:53Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.16$5.00
08-03 15:52Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.4299999951$15.00
08-03 15:43Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?BUY0.409999991$10.00
08-02 18:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
08-02 18:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-02 18:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.32$1.00
08-02 16:26Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
08-02 05:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.0899999599$2.00
08-02 05:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.0899999599$2.00
08-02 05:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.1099999032$1.00
08-02 05:32Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$2.00