PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA08CA5f07558d3EF494E8Fa1EE89e375b4dAdc50-1763833259755

0xa08ca5f07558d3ef494e8fa1ee89e375b4dadc50

Realised P&L
$-263.56
Volume
$30.7k
Markets traded
154
Open portfolio
$83.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded154
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? · No0.6200.961$23.25+$8.25
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4900.340$13.89$6.11
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? · No0.7080.949$13.41+$3.41
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? · Yes0.5400.435$9.67$2.33
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? · Yes0.6200.600$5.81$0.19
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? · Yes0.4100.220$5.37$4.63
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · Yes0.4030.355$5.28$0.72
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? · Yes0.5000.280$4.48$3.52
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2400.055$1.15$3.85
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · Yes0.3500.090$1.03$2.97
Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026? · No0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 19:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.71$2.00
09-07 19:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-07 19:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-04 12:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.02$1.00
09-04 12:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
09-04 12:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.75$2.00
09-04 12:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-04 12:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.77$2.00
09-04 12:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.7299999087$2.00
09-04 12:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.2299998275$1.00
09-04 12:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.7799996958$2.00
09-02 08:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.04$1.00
09-02 08:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.2599998648$1.00
09-02 07:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.05$1.00
09-02 07:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.4899998285$1.00