UNbelieve4u
0xa051018f9cfcb972077bdc4f208fd36d68ebde02
- Realised P&L
- $-12.53
- Volume
- $726.31
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $7.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.790 | 0.890 | $4.45 | +$0.50 |
| Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.379 | 0.029 | $2.22 | −$26.30 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.010 | $0.50 | −$8.50 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$1.02 |
| Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? · No | 0.195 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.66at 0.080Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
- +$1.99at 0.520Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
- +$0.82at 0.540Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
- +$-0.67at 0.212Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
- +$-4.83at 0.200Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 17:17 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 06-08 02:31 | Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.78 | $2.73 |
| 06-08 02:31 | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.10 |
| 06-03 22:17 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 06-03 21:29 | Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 05-31 11:29 | Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.13 | $8.03 |
| 05-31 11:29 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.19 | $4.60 |
| 05-29 22:26 | Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 05-29 12:35 | Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 05-29 12:35 | Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 05-29 02:20 | Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 05-25 22:22 | Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0069999936 | $1.10 |