0xa04dcad1ecd55091d02d5191fa779870b082c775
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 1,665
- Open portfolio
- $157.35
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- CautionMarkets traded1,665
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.305 | 0.265 | $47.72 | −$7.28 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.311 | 0.205 | $35.84 | −$18.59 |
| Spread: Rams (-5.5) · Rams | 0.530 | 0.510 | $28.87 | −$1.13 |
| Lions vs. Dolphins · Lions | 0.750 | 0.745 | $10.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.955 | $10.24 | +$0.05 |
| Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections? · No | 0.400 | 0.275 | $6.88 | −$3.13 |
| Broncos vs. Panthers · Panthers | 0.420 | 0.420 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Bengals vs. Falcons · Bengals | 0.610 | 0.600 | $4.92 | −$0.08 |
| Cowboys vs. Colts · Colts | 0.300 | 0.295 | $4.92 | −$0.08 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-9.5) · Jets | 0.490 | 0.500 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Bruins vs. Sabres · Sabres | 0.607 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals · Baltimore Orioles | 0.468 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.231 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$834.96at 0.325Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$603.74at 0.511Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
- +$506.78at 0.326Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$305.35at 0.495Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
- +$229.47at 0.321Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 14:39 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9499999814 | $10.19 |
| 11-02 14:37 | Spread: Rams (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5299999961 | $30.00 |
| 11-02 14:37 | Spread: Chiefs (-9.5) | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 14:37 | Lions vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.75 | $11.00 |
| 11-02 14:36 | Broncos vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 14:36 | Cowboys vs. Colts | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 14:36 | Bengals vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 06:44 | Spread: Rams (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $10.81 |
| 10-28 06:44 | Chargers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.739999949 | $9.00 |
| 10-28 06:43 | Raiders vs. Jets | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 06:43 | Vikings vs. Lions | BUY | 0.629999995 | $15.00 |
| 10-28 06:42 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 06:41 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $46.18 |
| 10-24 14:54 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.4699999356 | $2.99 |
| 10-24 14:53 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.07 | $3.04 |