PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mangaloes

0xa043c1be807b50640a25fdef01ca788abb3a3e9e

Realised P&L
$-81.97
Volume
$44.4k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$291.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · Yes0.1100.170$196.57+$69.38
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.7500.945$94.50+$19.50
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$14.73
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$25.76
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.4350.000$0.00−$359.26
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$30.29
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026? · No0.3610.000$0.00−$21.07
GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$31.00
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$40.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$14.26
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? · No0.5880.000$0.00−$68.84
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$0.57
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$29.71
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$9.54
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 17:02Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.004$1.60
09-30 20:09Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.3623509287$1.7k
07-28 18:46US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?BUY0.11$127.20
04-27 15:50Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.94$1.5k
04-23 13:27Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?BUY0.0629855841$27.48
04-21 18:54Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?BUY0.0338457929$27.95
04-20 00:20US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.75$75.00
04-16 17:14Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?SELL0.0234235776$6.80
04-16 16:03GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?BUY0.044977309$30.00
04-16 15:49Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?BUY0.0165425972$4.61
04-16 15:37US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.8399999989$700.00
04-16 14:43GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?BUY0.0113173382$1.00
04-15 17:43US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.16$4.00
04-15 17:42US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.1636826668$200.00
03-13 20:51Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.937$9.37