mangaloes
0xa043c1be807b50640a25fdef01ca788abb3a3e9e
- Realised P&L
- $-81.97
- Volume
- $44.4k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $291.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.371Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$180.83at 0.961GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
- +$133.33at 0.840US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$96.00at 0.940Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$84.23at 0.932Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 17:02 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.60 |
| 09-30 20:09 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3623509287 | $1.7k |
| 07-28 18:46 | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $127.20 |
| 04-27 15:50 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.5k |
| 04-23 13:27 | Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520? | BUY | 0.0629855841 | $27.48 |
| 04-21 18:54 | Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.0338457929 | $27.95 |
| 04-20 00:20 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 04-16 17:14 | Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.0234235776 | $6.80 |
| 04-16 16:03 | GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.044977309 | $30.00 |
| 04-16 15:49 | Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0165425972 | $4.61 |
| 04-16 15:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999989 | $700.00 |
| 04-16 14:43 | GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0113173382 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 17:43 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 04-15 17:42 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1636826668 | $200.00 |
| 03-13 20:51 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.937 | $9.37 |