PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa03d48f453bfEc23B2d4a8400383992FCF24Bed6-1774010238683

0xa03d48f453bfec23b2d4a8400383992fcf24bed6

Realised P&L
$73.30
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$47.25

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes0.3940.365$18.54$1.46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.5800.935$16.12+$6.12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7100.835$11.76+$1.76
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.1360.004$0.83$24.17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3310.000$0.00$10.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? · No0.3500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10? · No0.4900.000$0.00$5.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31? · No0.0660.000$0.00$5.00
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.6400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$5.00
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? · No0.3580.000$0.00$18.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Up0.7140.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 11:29Iran full airspace closure by August 15?SELL0.68$9.71
07-20 13:26China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.64$10.00
07-20 13:24Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.699999993$10.00
07-18 18:20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
07-18 11:52Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.41$7.88
07-18 11:49Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5919999479$10.00
07-18 11:47Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.591$92.34
07-07 11:34Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2699999681$5.00
07-07 11:27Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3309999818$10.00
07-04 13:18Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
07-04 13:18Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.699999993$10.00
07-04 13:15Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.05$5.00
07-04 13:15Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.8399999966$10.00
07-04 13:15Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
06-27 22:25Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2599999646$5.00