0xa03d48f453bfEc23B2d4a8400383992FCF24Bed6-1774010238683
0xa03d48f453bfec23b2d4a8400383992fcf24bed6
- Realised P&L
- $73.30
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $47.25
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.91at 0.110Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$72.14at 0.604Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.13at 0.686Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$10.26at 0.497Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$9.27at 0.510US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 11:29 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | SELL | 0.68 | $9.71 |
| 07-20 13:26 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 13:24 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 18:20 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 11:52 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.41 | $7.88 |
| 07-18 11:49 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5919999479 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 11:47 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.591 | $92.34 |
| 07-07 11:34 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 11:27 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3309999818 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 13:18 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 13:18 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 13:15 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 13:15 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 13:15 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 22:25 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |