0x9fcc916163d76d053042a231998ad0eacce3aefc
0x9fcc916163d76d053042a231998ad0eacce3aefc
- Realised P&L
- $10.66
- Volume
- $265.14
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $3.08
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.695 | $1.21 | −$0.01 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.160 | $1.13 | −$1.06 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $197.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.085 | $0.35 | −$0.87 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.155 | $0.32 | −$0.70 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.021 | $0.07 | −$1.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.70at 0.227WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 17?
- +$6.57at 0.250US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$4.01at 0.359Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.23at 0.410SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?
- +$2.63at 0.460S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:38 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6999998852 | $1.22 |
| 09-21 18:38 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $197.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999754 | $1.22 |
| 09-20 21:43 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999183 | $1.02 |
| 09-19 06:07 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999211 | $1.22 |
| 09-16 10:32 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.22 |
| 09-16 02:31 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.779999894 | $1.03 |
| 09-15 17:28 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998943 | $1.22 |
| 09-15 07:57 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999849 | $1.22 |
| 09-14 23:41 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6699998243 | $1.22 |
| 09-14 15:39 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998964 | $1.22 |
| 09-14 07:21 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999712 | $1.22 |
| 09-13 23:20 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.22 |
| 09-12 00:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.2099999931 | $1.22 |
| 09-11 06:35 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.7099999418 | $1.22 |
| 09-10 22:27 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.22 |