PolyBot

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Traders

0x9fcc916163d76d053042a231998ad0eacce3aefc

Realised P&L
$7.24
Volume
$65.00
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$21.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2500.835$7.31+$5.12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.6601.000$2.86+$0.97
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7800.900$2.53+$0.34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.8000.865$2.37+$0.18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7300.730$2.19+$0.00
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · Yes0.6800.655$2.11$0.08
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3600.315$1.92$0.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 10:15Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.6599999578$2.19
08-05 09:28Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.3599999145$2.19
08-05 00:58SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.6499999406$2.19
08-04 16:55US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.73$2.19
08-04 08:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.8$2.19
08-04 00:41Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5599999284$2.19
08-03 16:39Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY0.6799999503$2.19
08-03 08:39S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?BUY0.8199999476$2.19
08-02 21:05Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.7799999288$2.19
08-02 11:53Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7$2.19
08-02 00:51US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.25$2.19
08-01 16:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.6599999651$1.89
08-01 03:12Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 19:10Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 11:09Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 31?BUY0.42$1.47