PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Naropoly

0x9f83f83bdfc209c6fade8a2c77ea9667e9176cd9

Realised P&L
$26.4k
Volume
$2.98M
Markets traded
948
Open portfolio
$38.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded948
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9760.971$24.8k$146.72
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · No0.9350.975$4.9k+$194.54
Will France win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No0.9830.982$2.5k$5.14
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8710.925$2.1k+$120.10
Will Hungary win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No0.9800.988$1.3k+$10.49
Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No0.7570.725$667.34$29.49
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? · No0.8000.905$545.37+$63.43
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9320.951$370.91+$7.41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9050.997$298.95+$27.45
Will Turkiye win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No0.9890.988$269.59$0.49
Will Armenia win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No0.9830.977$204.51$1.30
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? · No0.9630.995$201.79+$6.42
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.9200.935$187.00+$3.00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.9230.919$91.95$0.35
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.8300.769$76.95$6.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:54Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.923$92.30
09-17 18:48Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?SELL0.996$118.58
09-17 17:19Will Hungary win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.986$42.02
09-17 17:09Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.7064417346$103.12
09-17 06:59Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.28$28.00
09-17 06:35Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.27$12.42
09-17 06:35Will Turkiye win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.991$19.55
09-15 15:08Will Armenia win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.9827223893$205.81
09-15 14:08Will Turkiye win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.9891486161$250.52
09-15 14:06Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.78$151.74
09-15 13:31Will France win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.9836088951$200.00
09-14 19:36No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.83$83.00
09-14 07:15Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.92$184.00
09-12 15:48Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.91$90.09
09-09 18:16Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?BUY0.9683860232$300.00