0x9f72114db64793acf292af841c7efa06c0e80607
- Realised P&L
- $-5.10
- Volume
- $45.96
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $3.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.635 | $1.75 | +$0.73 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.915 | $1.44 | +$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.14at 0.329Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$0.96at 0.520Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$0.61at 0.629Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.58at 0.639S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?
- +$0.35at 0.748Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 04:58 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $1.02 |
| 09-18 01:13 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.02 |
| 09-13 22:34 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998784 | $1.02 |
| 09-09 12:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.3899999426 | $1.02 |
| 09-08 13:09 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.6299998518 | $1.02 |
| 09-07 17:53 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7399998259 | $1.02 |
| 09-02 12:35 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.7399998259 | $1.02 |
| 09-01 12:18 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.02 |
| 09-01 04:18 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999087 | $1.02 |
| 08-28 20:03 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998165 | $1.02 |
| 08-23 07:48 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.5919995171 | $1.02 |
| 08-21 19:30 | Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.7599999702 | $1.02 |
| 08-21 10:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.7599999702 | $1.02 |
| 08-19 12:52 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.6499994583 | $1.02 |
| 08-19 02:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4599998196 | $1.02 |