MrMelonHead
0x9f66aa958734d9d5af35f5f19a276d23e84f3a50
- Realised P&L
- $8.3k
- Volume
- $2.65M
- Markets traded
- 2,247
- Open portfolio
- $15.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,247
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.911Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
- +$2.7kat 0.962Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$2.7kat 0.347Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.598Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
- +$2.2kat 0.401US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 04:49 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 04:49 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 23:44 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.4094219717 | $51.58 |
| 09-16 22:42 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.170923475 | $60.00 |
| 09-16 22:36 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | SELL | 0.042 | $4.83 |
| 09-16 22:32 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | SELL | 0.67 | $18.09 |
| 09-16 22:32 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.42 | $19.32 |
| 09-16 19:31 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 19:20 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.3489531401 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 18:30 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6002851354 | $200.00 |
| 09-16 16:14 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.3828996994 | $200.00 |
| 09-16 16:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.3653218432 | $1.0k |
| 09-16 16:12 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.2885261976 | $917.20 |
| 09-16 16:12 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $100.00 |