luciernaga349
0x9f35f80256feaf6c64cd4b61a6f791639de91a29
- Realised P&L
- $7.41
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $23.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.725 | $7.25 | +$0.05 |
| Spain snap election called in 2026? · No | 0.350 | 0.405 | $4.05 | +$0.55 |
| Will Ukraine win Junior Eurovision 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.760 | $3.81 | +$0.25 |
| Will Montenegro win Junior Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.061 | $3.39 | +$2.14 |
| Spain snap election called by November 30? · No | 0.388 | 0.385 | $3.02 | −$0.02 |
| Will Portugal win Junior Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.018 | $1.26 | −$1.04 |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.795 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Down | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.27 |
| CD Castellón vs. CD Tenerife: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.66at 0.267Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win the Sinquefield Cup?
- +$6.03at 0.751Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- +$2.36at 0.330Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- +$1.45at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
- +$1.34at 0.612Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:48 | Will CD Castellón win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 20:30 | Spain snap election called by November 30? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:17 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.9699999958 | $2.31 |
| 09-26 11:51 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-25 14:55 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.739999998 | $14.91 |
| 09-25 14:44 | Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | SELL | 0.2456493506 | $3.78 |
| 09-25 14:44 | Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | SELL | 0.2647254262 | $7.30 |
| 09-25 14:36 | Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.399 | $9.98 |
| 09-25 14:20 | Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | SELL | 0.28 | $15.10 |
| 09-25 13:57 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.6599999938 | $8.50 |
| 09-25 13:56 | Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 13:55 | Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.2079195561 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 13:55 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | SELL | 0.65 | $23.81 |
| 09-25 13:47 | Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | SELL | 0.151 | $1.05 |
| 09-25 13:45 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.52 |