PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

luciernaga349

0x9f35f80256feaf6c64cd4b61a6f791639de91a29

Realised P&L
$7.41
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$23.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes0.7200.725$7.25+$0.05
Spain snap election called in 2026? · No0.3500.405$4.05+$0.55
Will Ukraine win Junior Eurovision 2026? · No0.7100.760$3.81+$0.25
Will Montenegro win Junior Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0220.061$3.39+$2.14
Spain snap election called by November 30? · No0.3880.385$3.02−$0.02
Will Portugal win Junior Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0340.018$1.26−$1.04
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.7900.795$1.01+$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00−$0.27
CD Castellón vs. CD Tenerife: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under0.6800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 21:48Will CD Castellón win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-02 20:30Spain snap election called by November 30?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-27 09:17Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.9699999958$2.31
09-26 11:51Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.8$4.00
09-25 14:55Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.739999998$14.91
09-25 14:44Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?SELL0.2456493506$3.78
09-25 14:44Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?SELL0.2647254262$7.30
09-25 14:36Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.399$9.98
09-25 14:20Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?SELL0.28$15.10
09-25 13:57Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.6599999938$8.50
09-25 13:56Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-25 13:55Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.2079195561$10.00
09-25 13:55Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?SELL0.65$23.81
09-25 13:47Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?SELL0.151$1.05
09-25 13:45Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.64$6.52