0x9f2f920a63ea14cc014f5f7103b4daa1fb3996ae
- Realised P&L
- $-138.51
- Volume
- $149.0k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes | 0.504 | 0.545 | $1.6k | +$119.57 |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.028 | $754.53 | +$109.88 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.820 | 0.972 | $473.90 | +$73.90 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.160 | $205.36 | −$94.63 |
| Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.018 | $12.18 | −$87.82 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.021 | $8.91 | −$90.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.144Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$682.55at 0.149Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$515.96at 0.775Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
- +$222.97at 0.492Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$146.23at 0.330Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 19:18 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi | BUY | 0.12 | $14.10 |
| 09-07 19:16 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 23:36 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.025 | $30.24 |
| 09-05 23:33 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.025 | $11.00 |
| 09-05 23:32 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.025 | $65.00 |
| 08-21 10:10 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0239999995 | $46.81 |
| 08-21 10:09 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.5 | $191.07 |
| 08-20 22:57 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.024 | $60.00 |
| 08-20 22:56 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0231918454 | $60.00 |
| 08-20 22:54 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $170.69 |
| 08-20 11:56 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0229999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 11:56 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0229999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 11:54 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.5 | $298.53 |
| 08-20 11:53 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.5 | $400.72 |
| 07-21 17:57 | Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.1436371599 | $100.00 |