0x9ec835841ad170e6D5d7714197bcaAbf682050Cf-1769560720353
0x9ec835841ad170e6d5d7714197bcaabf682050cf
- Realised P&L
- $-135.20
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $12.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.028 | $8.15 | −$16.85 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.025 | $4.59 | −$1.76 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Another US bank failure by February 28? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will XRP reach $2.00 in July? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.69 |
| Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.00at 0.021US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
- +$-10.00at 0.160Pelicans vs. Thunder
- +$-13.00at 0.001Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 17:50 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 17:50 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0110000001 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 16:38 | Will XRP reach $2.00 in July? | BUY | 0.0064246223 | $4.69 |
| 07-09 16:33 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0338671497 | $6.35 |
| 07-09 16:30 | Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.084306526 | $25.00 |
| 07-09 16:29 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 02-02 22:42 | Another US bank failure by February 28? | BUY | 0.1299999859 | $7.00 |
| 02-02 22:39 | US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.0210000001 | $5.00 |
| 02-02 22:39 | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $5.00 |
| 02-02 22:37 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.017 | $20.00 |
| 02-02 22:32 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.0170000001 | $3.00 |
| 01-28 00:57 | Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.00 |
| 01-28 00:55 | Pelicans vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 01-28 00:51 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0696689332 | $15.00 |
| 01-28 00:49 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $13.00 |