PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF4c639895ca296053A7389982fde40FD3A7F194c-1775302046666

0x9e5dd800b5abad60a793fc207a3b266668d4c928

Realised P&L
$221.12
Volume
$70.9k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.4610.235$510.00−$489.99
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.4460.175$320.40−$496.41
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1410.046$228.49−$471.51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.085$212.50−$287.50
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2570.037$72.10−$427.90
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.5340.090$25.42−$124.58
Will India have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.4040.125$15.47−$34.53
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31? · Yes0.2550.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$150.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$399.99
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$100.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1680.000$0.00−$150.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00−$350.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 13:25US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.1002311913$200.00
08-16 19:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.1676838381$150.00
07-15 04:48Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.227$175.97
07-15 04:47Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?SELL0.8717444725$559.08
07-15 04:47Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?SELL0.9637780224$1.4k
07-03 13:50Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?BUY0.7796119089$500.00
06-26 19:54Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1773573738$100.00
06-26 05:32Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2565800424$500.00
06-26 05:32Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1820770268$250.00
06-25 07:07Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?BUY0.66$100.00
06-25 00:34Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?BUY0.2781917521$100.00
06-25 00:33US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.64$100.00
06-25 00:30Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.5985911409$200.00
06-25 00:30Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.4771329273$200.00
06-24 18:31US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.64$200.00