0x9e51859bb67e705100471603ac594a9cf88e3475
- Realised P&L
- $-501.16
- Volume
- $117.2k
- Markets traded
- 5,738
- Open portfolio
- $11.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,738
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$682.61at 0.129Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5PM ET
- +$284.90at 0.018Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4PM ET
- +$210.09at 0.156Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
- +$199.28at 0.132Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$149.80at 0.232Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:17 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.56 |
| 09-16 22:25 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:53 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999986 | $5.82 |
| 09-15 08:19 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.05 |
| 09-15 08:18 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.052 | $0.98 |
| 09-15 08:17 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.0539999985 | $1.05 |
| 09-14 23:11 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.0519999979 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.10 |
| 07-18 12:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 07-17 11:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999616 | $2.55 |
| 07-15 13:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999444 | $2.55 |
| 07-13 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 07-13 08:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.55 |
| 07-12 12:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999616 | $2.55 |
| 07-11 13:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999616 | $2.55 |