PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9e51859bb67e705100471603ac594a9cf88e3475

Realised P&L
$-501.16
Volume
$117.2k
Markets traded
5,738
Open portfolio
$11.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,738
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8300.935$6.56+$0.74
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.131$2.62+$1.62
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes0.0530.057$1.13+$0.08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.0800.070$0.96$0.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00$1.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Down0.6300.000$0.00$3.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$2.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$2.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$2.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Down0.5300.000$0.00$2.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET · Up0.3600.000$0.00$2.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00$1.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00$2.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$2.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$2.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 00:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?SELL0.032$0.56
09-16 22:25France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
09-16 04:53US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.8299999986$5.82
09-15 08:19US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.06$1.05
09-15 08:18US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.052$0.98
09-15 08:17US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.0539999985$1.05
09-14 23:11US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.0519999979$1.00
09-14 22:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.08$1.10
07-18 12:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.51$2.55
07-17 11:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.4899999616$2.55
07-15 13:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.4299999444$2.55
07-13 15:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.51$2.55
07-13 08:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.5$2.55
07-12 12:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.4899999616$2.55
07-11 13:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.4899999616$2.55