PolyBot

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Traders

Frieren68

0x9e455413b57a792dfd92032f9a7a9fb282803662

Realised P&L
$9.8k
Volume
$806.6k
Markets traded
1,642
Open portfolio
$10.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,642
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5660.735$675.62+$155.62
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.905$651.84+$118.85
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.8480.945$618.65+$63.65
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? · No0.7520.735$586.04$13.96
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7390.844$488.44+$60.60
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.4440.714$417.57+$157.72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? · No0.6640.966$376.33+$117.33
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7010.725$369.80+$12.47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7440.935$355.25+$72.58
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No0.7300.755$310.27+$10.27
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · No0.4120.460$307.22+$32.22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? · No0.9090.915$302.11+$2.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · No0.9300.890$287.10$12.90
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? · No0.6970.890$281.09+$61.09
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.4610.855$278.07+$128.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 10:00Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.425T by September 30?BUY0.8611054981$50.00
09-13 02:57Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?BUY0.8941058935$200.00
09-13 02:47Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.4418166701$100.00
09-13 02:47Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.6199999865$23.00
09-13 02:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?SELL0.9756782783$614.51
09-13 02:44Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.6199999991$200.00
09-13 02:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?SELL0.9777475946$205.27
09-10 10:25Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?BUY0.7899999905$10.00
09-10 10:25Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?BUY0.7899999997$150.00
09-10 10:25US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?SELL0.984$171.13
09-09 12:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?BUY0.8199999967$20.00
09-09 12:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?BUY0.819999999$100.00
09-09 12:48Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?SELL0.981$84.57
09-09 12:48Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?SELL0.951$33.61
09-07 19:17Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?BUY0.9$40.00