Frieren68
0x9e455413b57a792dfd92032f9a7a9fb282803662
- Realised P&L
- $8.7k
- Volume
- $771.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,576
- Open portfolio
- $8.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,576
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.188Will Solana reach $240 in October?
- +$846.58at 0.385Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
- +$740.18at 0.446Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
- +$730.47at 0.360Will Solana reach $250 in October?
- +$714.71at 0.280Will Solana reach $240 October 6-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 22:52 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6727674136 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 22:52 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 22:51 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9689999999 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 19:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? | BUY | 0.9748543567 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 19:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? | BUY | 0.9748088887 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 19:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? | BUY | 0.9719856568 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 17:07 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? | BUY | 0.8600955677 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 17:07 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? | BUY | 0.8531754487 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 16:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.9346672568 | $200.00 |
| 07-31 23:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | BUY | 0.9450695719 | $300.00 |
| 07-31 17:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.7898918459 | $179.70 |
| 07-31 17:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.2790730988 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 17:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July? | SELL | 0.998 | $188.28 |
| 07-31 17:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.5630996815 | $120.00 |
| 07-31 17:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | BUY | 0.9452736317 | $200.00 |