Frieren68
0x9e455413b57a792dfd92032f9a7a9fb282803662
- Realised P&L
- $9.8k
- Volume
- $806.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,642
- Open portfolio
- $10.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,642
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.188Will Solana reach $240 in October?
- +$846.59at 0.385Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
- +$740.18at 0.446Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
- +$730.47at 0.360Will Solana reach $250 in October?
- +$714.71at 0.280Will Solana reach $240 October 6-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 10:00 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.425T by September 30? | BUY | 0.8611054981 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 02:57 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | BUY | 0.8941058935 | $200.00 |
| 09-13 02:47 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4418166701 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 02:47 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.6199999865 | $23.00 |
| 09-13 02:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September? | SELL | 0.9756782783 | $614.51 |
| 09-13 02:44 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.6199999991 | $200.00 |
| 09-13 02:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September? | SELL | 0.9777475946 | $205.27 |
| 09-10 10:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 10:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $150.00 |
| 09-10 10:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $171.13 |
| 09-09 12:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 12:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.819999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 12:48 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $84.57 |
| 09-09 12:48 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? | SELL | 0.951 | $33.61 |
| 09-07 19:17 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $40.00 |