PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Skywill

0x9e42994df82c383c1b128069280c0e3f65184938

Realised P&L
$675.77
Volume
$459.8k
Markets traded
1,957
Open portfolio
$759.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,957
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? · Yes0.4360.735$329.35+$134.04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17? · Yes0.4530.989$89.23+$48.36
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 17? · Yes0.2550.170$77.91$38.78
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16? · Yes0.6361.000$75.00+$27.30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? · Yes0.4020.945$54.34+$31.23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 18? · Yes0.2750.260$52.00$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 17? · Yes0.1340.125$28.65$1.99
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18? · Yes0.3500.340$20.40$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 18? · Yes0.1630.125$14.00$4.27
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 17? · Yes0.1060.180$5.22+$2.14
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 18? · Yes0.2000.190$4.87$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? · Yes0.3790.050$3.50$23.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 17? · Yes0.5480.055$2.75$24.65
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 17? · Yes0.0200.005$0.55$1.45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 17? · Yes0.0920.005$0.49$7.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:09Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 17?BUY0.14$3.97
09-17 06:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 17?BUY0.12$0.45
09-17 05:26Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 17?BUY0.29$2.90
09-17 05:26Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 17?BUY0.29$2.90
09-17 05:23Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.46$9.20
09-17 05:18Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.5$10.00
09-17 05:16Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17?SELL0.01$0.24
09-17 05:14Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.5$15.00
09-17 05:14Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.49$2.45
09-17 04:33Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.49$3.92
09-17 04:28Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 17?SELL0.03$1.05
09-17 04:28Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.5$15.00
09-17 04:23Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.49$9.80
09-17 04:21Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.5$15.00
09-17 04:20Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.48$2.40