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Traders

Skywill

0x9e42994df82c383c1b128069280c0e3f65184938

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$725.0k
Markets traded
2,839
Open portfolio
$110.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,839
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.4440.645$69.02+$21.55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 2? · Yes0.2610.250$25.00−$1.15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2? · Yes0.4800.435$8.70−$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 2? · Yes0.0310.033$3.77+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2? · Yes0.2890.090$3.60−$7.95
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 30? · Yes0.0010.001$0.10−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 31? · Yes0.0030.001$0.05−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 31? · Yes0.1090.001$0.03−$6.51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30? · Yes0.5360.001$0.03−$26.77
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs · Invictus Gaming0.5700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 13? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 29? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner · JD Gaming0.5900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 22? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$9.51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 12? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$13.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 07:42Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1?SELL0.0064739797$0.77
11-01 07:29Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1?BUY0.031$1.24
11-01 07:19Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1?BUY0.061$0.61
11-01 07:18Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1?BUY0.08$0.75
11-01 07:16Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1?BUY0.094$0.94
11-01 07:16Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1?BUY0.099$0.99
11-01 07:15Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1?BUY0.099$0.99
11-01 07:15Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2?BUY0.48$9.60
11-01 07:14Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 2?BUY0.26$5.20
11-01 07:12Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1?BUY0.135$1.35
11-01 07:12Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1?BUY0.135$1.35
11-01 07:11Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1?BUY0.135$1.35
11-01 07:09Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1?SELL0.9644753333$28.93
11-01 06:51Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2?BUY0.28875$11.55
11-01 06:50Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 2?BUY0.26$5.20