Skywill
0x9e42994df82c383c1b128069280c0e3f65184938
- Realised P&L
- $675.77
- Volume
- $459.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,957
- Open portfolio
- $759.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,957
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$504.25at 0.291Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?
- +$366.74at 0.060Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?
- +$345.22at 0.068Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 14?
- +$272.33at 0.027Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 1?
- +$259.08at 0.117Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.14 | $3.97 |
| 09-17 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.45 |
| 09-17 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-17 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-17 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 09-17 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.24 |
| 09-17 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-17 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.49 | $3.92 |
| 09-17 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.05 |
| 09-17 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 09-17 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |