Skywill
0x9e42994df82c383c1b128069280c0e3f65184938
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $725.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,839
- Open portfolio
- $110.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,839
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$613.62at 0.361Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?
- +$504.25at 0.291Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?
- +$407.44at 0.095Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?
- +$399.99at 0.034Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?
- +$366.74at 0.060Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.0064739797 | $0.77 |
| 11-01 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.031 | $1.24 |
| 11-01 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.061 | $0.61 |
| 11-01 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.75 |
| 11-01 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.094 | $0.94 |
| 11-01 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.099 | $0.99 |
| 11-01 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.099 | $0.99 |
| 11-01 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 11-01 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 11-01 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.135 | $1.35 |
| 11-01 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.135 | $1.35 |
| 11-01 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.135 | $1.35 |
| 11-01 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.9644753333 | $28.93 |
| 11-01 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.28875 | $11.55 |
| 11-01 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |