cccg
0x9e05df3395d9d27180336a62b936555d26d76c90
- Realised P&L
- $-0.21
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $96.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.516 | 0.735 | $14.25 | +$4.25 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.715 | $14.02 | +$4.02 |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.935 | $11.13 | +$1.13 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No | 0.870 | 0.945 | $10.86 | +$0.86 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.455 | $10.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.705 | $9.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.675 | $9.51 | −$0.49 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.890 | 0.727 | $8.17 | −$1.83 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.015 | $6.58 | −$3.44 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $1.76 | −$8.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.56at 0.610US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$22.93at 0.838Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
- +$13.66at 0.869Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's State of the Union?
- +$5.92at 0.703Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
- +$5.65at 0.214Will Iran strike Oman in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 00:23 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.09 |
| 10-25 14:29 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.21 | $12.82 |
| 10-22 15:49 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6799999701 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 23:02 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 22:58 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.69 | $21.89 |
| 10-02 15:43 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 15:42 | Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 15:41 | Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 02:49 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0269999997 | $2.03 |
| 09-25 17:12 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5947306738 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 02:21 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 04:03 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.28 | $4.51 |
| 08-30 17:50 | Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.818 | $10.12 |
| 08-26 19:29 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | SELL | 0.971 | $22.94 |
| 08-25 02:33 | Will PI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.8079999444 | $10.00 |