Moond
0x9dfe2f73d3c988a9d69df8fa0beb85651340b3dd
- Realised P&L
- $159.7k
- Volume
- $6.84M
- Markets traded
- 2,102
- Open portfolio
- $90.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,102
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.6kat 0.829MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$11.2kat 0.273US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$4.8kat 0.475Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1
- +$4.3kat 0.512Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
- +$4.1kat 0.820Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 14:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 08-13 14:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.47 | $280.58 |
| 08-13 12:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.7 | $183.75 |
| 08-13 12:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 08-13 12:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.4272413793 | $495.60 |
| 08-13 12:03 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.24 | $12.74 |
| 08-10 17:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.66 | $685.99 |
| 08-10 14:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.6394360902 | $340.18 |
| 08-10 12:09 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.6k |
| 08-10 10:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.6 | $168.00 |
| 08-09 12:19 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $2.6k |
| 08-09 12:17 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7820942255 | $532.54 |
| 08-08 15:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $171.99 |
| 08-07 20:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $80.00 |
| 08-06 16:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.11 | $111.46 |