PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Legacy.crypto

0x9dfb2df4d4e8433b6e8fd592d4a9a9366fcae887

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$626.8k
Markets traded
1,488
Open portfolio
$24.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,488
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration44.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? · Yes0.9770.991$5.3k+$73.19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.6610.635$1.9k−$79.11
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? · No0.9210.950$1.9k+$58.53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.7490.725$1.4k−$48.01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8870.925$1.4k+$57.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8470.865$1.3k+$27.50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8910.925$1.2k+$44.40
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9920.995$995.00+$3.00
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.9280.935$841.50+$6.50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6500.635$635.00−$15.00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.9010.965$598.69+$39.49
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8390.877$542.55+$23.72
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.7180.765$420.75+$25.85
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8540.935$292.65+$25.48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9300.935$280.50+$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 19:46Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?BUY0.3$23.40
09-24 19:46Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.197$9.85
09-24 16:49Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.88$88.00
09-24 16:38US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.63$40.95
09-24 16:36Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 975m and 980m by October 31?BUY0.98$7.90
09-24 16:36Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 980m and 985m by October 31?BUY0.98$49.00
09-24 16:36Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 980m and 985m by October 31?BUY0.97$21.70
09-24 16:35Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 985m and 990m by October 31?BUY0.974754717$69.74
09-24 16:35Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 990m by October 31?BUY0.9779062459$74.68
09-24 16:33Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?BUY0.9$36.00
09-24 16:33Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?BUY0.89$4.45
09-24 16:33Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?BUY0.87$18.27
09-24 14:08Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.7575005$15.15
09-24 13:16US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.69$337.76
09-24 11:46Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.69$49.07